Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000269 0.000301 0.000335 0.000375 0.000419 0.000467 0.000522
2025-03-23 0.000225 0.000269 0.000318 0.000378 0.000450 0.000533 0.000635
2025-03-30 0.000191 0.000241 0.000300 0.000377 0.000472 0.000589 0.000741
2025-04-06 0.000169 0.000223 0.000290 0.000382 0.000502 0.000655 0.000865
2025-04-13 0.000150 0.000206 0.000280 0.000384 0.000527 0.000716 0.000986
2025-04-20 0.000132 0.000189 0.000267 0.000380 0.000542 0.000764 0.001095
2025-04-27 0.000123 0.000182 0.000266 0.000392 0.000578 0.000844 0.001252
2025-05-04 0.000113 0.000173 0.000261 0.000397 0.000606 0.000912 0.001399
2025-05-11 0.000104 0.000165 0.000255 0.000401 0.000631 0.000978 0.001546
2025-05-18 0.000095 0.000154 0.000246 0.000398 0.000644 0.001026 0.001670
2025-05-25 0.000089 0.000148 0.000242 0.000403 0.000669 0.001095 0.001831
2025-06-01 0.000081 0.000139 0.000234 0.000398 0.000679 0.001139 0.001956
2025-06-08 0.000075 0.000132 0.000228 0.000398 0.000697 0.001200 0.002116
2025-06-15 0.000070 0.000126 0.000223 0.000400 0.000718 0.001267 0.002293
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000119 0.000216 0.000397 0.000730 0.001320 0.002450
2025-06-29 0.000061 0.000115 0.000213 0.000402 0.000757 0.001401 0.002663
2025-07-06 0.000057 0.000111 0.000209 0.000404 0.000779 0.001473 0.002867
2025-07-13 0.000053 0.000105 0.000202 0.000399 0.000788 0.001524 0.003034
2025-07-20 0.000051 0.000103 0.000204 0.000411 0.000829 0.001638 0.003333
2025-07-27 0.000048 0.000100 0.000203 0.000417 0.000858 0.001731 0.003598
2025-08-03 0.000046 0.000097 0.000200 0.000421 0.000885 0.001820 0.003862
2025-08-10 0.000043 0.000093 0.000195 0.000418 0.000896 0.001878 0.004066
2025-08-17 0.000041 0.000090 0.000193 0.000422 0.000923 0.001972 0.004356